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Brewery news
Malt news
Barley news
More news
Theoretical malt prices
Malting barley prices
Table of the week
Graph of the week
Agenda
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Average market prices Change trend

Wednesday, 20 October 2004
Crop 2004
2rs Barley €111.0     
6rw Barley €100.0     
2rs Malt €239.5     
6rw Malt €226.5     
Crop 2005
2rs Barley €122.0     
6rw Barley €106.0     
2rs Malt €253.5     
6rw Malt €233.5     

Note: Just click on the price link and you will be led to our Market Price History.
Average barley market prices are French and are estimated on FOB Creil basis.
Average malt market prices are estimated on FOB Antwerp basis.
The changes are compared to last Newsletter's prices.
Arrows indicate the direction of the change.


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E-malt.com Newsletter 43a
October 18 - October 20, 2004
Currency Rates
Base Currency: Euro, EUR
on 20-October-2004

1 EUR = 1.2524 USD
1 EUR = 0.6942 GBP
1 EUR = 1.5745 CAD
1 EUR = 1.7211 AUD
1 EUR = 135.81 JPY
1 EUR = 3.6057 BRL
1 EUR = 36.4699 RUB
Base Currency: US Dollar
on 20-October-2004

1 USD = 0.7988 EUR
1 USD = 0.5543 GBP
1 USD = 1.2572 CAD
1 USD = 1.3742 AUD
1 USD = 108.47 JPY
1 USD = 2.879 BRL
1 USD = 29.12 RUB

EUR/USD Chart
Top Industry News
  • Sweden: Carlsberg A/S announced on 19 October 2004 that Carlsberg Sweden AB has entered into an agreement to sell its brewery property in Bromma to the Stockholm Municipality for SEK 375 million ... Click here

  • China: Anheuser-Busch Inc may pay up to US$ 1 billion for a stake in central China's Henan Jinxing Beer Group Corp ... Click here

  • Belgium: The beer industry is growing at between 1% and 2% a year, but Brock, chief executive of InBev, the world’s biggest brewer by volume, has told his executives he wants to grow InBev at 4% to 5% ... Click here

  • Russia, Moscow: Russia's leading brewery, Baltika, jointly owned by Denmark's Carlsberg and Scottish&Newcastle, on Saturday, October 16 shipped its first batch of 17,200 litres of beer to New Zealand ... Click here

  • UK: Scottish & Newcastle, which makes Fosters and Kronenbourg lagers, will next month become the first major brewer in the world to put general health warnings on beer bottles ... Click here

  • EU malt export licence bookings were 629,000 tonnes from July 1 to September 28, 2004 ... Click here

  • Vietnam has agreed with the EU to apply an average import tariff of 24% for agricultural produce if it joins the WTO. For malt, the 10% bound rate (and 5% effective rate) remains in the agreement ... Click here

  • Ukraine: In August Ukrainian enterprises imported about 8 thousand tonnes of malt at a value of US$ 1.08 million ... Click here

  • Canada: For 2004-2005 barley production in Canada is estimated by AAFC (Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada) to increase by 6% due to higher yields ... Click here

  • Finland: The new estimate of Finnish 2004 crop is 220,000 tonnes of screened malting barley, about 50,000 tonnes more than in 2003 ... Click here

  • Australia: ABB Grain Ltd announced that South Australia’s 2004/05 harvest began today, October 19 2004, with the first load of barley delivered to ABB Grain Ltd’s Port Pirie receival centre in the State’s Mid North ... Click here

More News
  • India: Fosters India has managed to corner around 2.5 % share of the Indian beer market. The Australian beer company has been around in the country for over six years ...more info


  • Ukraine: Company Soufflet Ukraine Ltd, representing the interests of French Group Soufflet on Ukrainian market, has become a member of Ukrainian Grain Association (UZA) ...more info


  • Australia: ABB Grain Ltd (ABB) announced on October 13 it has revised its South Australian gross barley pool estimates for South Australia, with the malting barley pool lifting $5/t to ......more info


  • Russia: OAO Baltika brewer (St. Petersburg) will launch 01s bonds for 1 bln rbl on Oct. 26, the company said on October 19, 2004. The first coupon rate stands at ......more info


  • Australia, Sydney: Lion Nathan announced on 18 October 2004 that following a review of the carrying value of the wine business and other assets, the Board of Lion Nathan has ...more info


  • Russia & Ukraine: The sowing campaign for the 2005/06 winter grain crops in Russia and Ukraine is nearing completion, USDA revealed in a statement on October 13 ...more info


  • China: After wresting the No. 1 brewer and beer consumer title from the States, China's beer market is now undergoing shifts in its industry of seismic proportions ...more info


  • EU: The outgoing Commission had been thought to be a “lame duck”, but on September 30 they opened an export restitution tender for all typical feed barley destinations in North ...more info


  • Taiwan will hold an import tender for 24,000 tonnes of malt, EU sources revealed at the end of September ...more info


  • Russian beer consumption is growing into a health problem. Russia might be famous for its vodka, but beer is becoming increasingly popular, so much that health officials now see it ...more info


  • Russia: Russian brewers produced about 66.54 million hl of beer in the first nine months of the year that is a 12.9% increase versus the same period last year ...more info


  • UK, London: Efes Breweries International N.V. toasted its debut on the London Stock Exchange on Friday, October 15, 2004 as its shares rose a fifth from their issue price in ...more info


  • Ukraine: In September 2004 Ukraine produced about 9.6 thousand tonnes of malt a 20% (or with 2.4 thousand tonnes) decrease compared to September 2003 ...more info


  • China will be the world’s biggest beer producer in 2004 for the third year running, brewing more than 7 billion gallons (264.95 million hl) of beer ...more info


Brewery News
Sweden: Carlsberg A/S announced on 19 October 2004 that Carlsberg Sweden AB has entered into an agreement to sell its brewery property in Bromma to the Stockholm Municipality for SEK 375 million. The transfer of the prop-erty will take place on 31 December 2004. Furthermore, Carlsberg Sweden has arranged to rent offices and warehouses at Bromma from the Municipality for functions such as sales, marketing, and logistics. Through this sale, Carlsberg A/S will realize an accounting profit which will be in-cluded in ‘special items’ in the Q4 financial statement. The profit is as expected and included in the previously stated expectations for 2004. In November 2003, the Board of Directors of Carlsberg Sweden decided to transfer the production of beer and soft drinks from the Bromma brewery near Stockholm to Falkenberg and to a lesser degree to Copenhagen. The transfer of the production has gradually been taking place and the process is expected to be completed during October 2004.

China: Anheuser-Busch Inc may pay up to US$ 1 billion for a stake in central China's Henan Jinxing Beer Group Corp, an official at the Chinese brewery told AFX - Asia on October 19. While the big US beer producer denied that any discussions are under way, an official at the Chinese firm said that talks have been held, though no final accord is on the table. 'Anheuser-Busch has initially agreed to pay up to one bln usd for some of our assets,' the Jinxing official told XFN-Asia. 'Bringing Anheuser-Busch in as a foreign strategic investor comes in line with our overall plan to diversify our state-owned shareholding structure,' he said. The official, who asked not to be named, also declined to say how big a stake Anheuser-Busch might take in the Chinese firm for that price. The US brewer, which has a 99.4 % stake in Harbin Brewery, and 9.91 pct of China's top beermaker, Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd, issued a statement on October 19 denying contacts with Jinxing Beer. 'Anheuser-Busch is not in discussions with representatives from Jinxing,' Steve Burrows, company CEO and president, said in a statement. Anheuser-Busch earlier this year aggressively outbid SABMiller in a takeover battle for China's fourth largest beermaker, Harbin Brewery Group. Jinxing Beer is the top brewer in Henan province with around 10 affiliates in other parts of the country. According to its website the company owns 25 beer production lines, with an annual capacity of 1 million tonnes. Should it go ahead, a deal between Anheuser-Busch and Henan Jinxing would mark another successful bid by a foreign brewer to buy into one of the world's fastest growing beer markets, where annual per capita consumption currently stands at only 19 litres, compared with 75 litres in Europe and 84 in the US. At the same time, income levels in China are rising rapidly and consumers are acquiring a growing taste for beer. Driven by huge growth potential and sluggish beer demand in their home countries, many foreign brewers have entered China by acquiring local brands. Global beer maker Interbrew has spent more than US$ 600 million so far in China, and now owns 9 % of the mainland beer market. Other foreign brewers holding stakes in Chinese breweries include SABMiller Plc, Carlsberg International AS and Scottish & Newcastle Plc.

Belgium: The beer industry is growing at between 1% and 2% a year, but Brock, chief executive of InBev, the world’s biggest brewer by volume, has told his executives he wants to grow InBev at 4% to 5%. To achieve this he is putting in place a bonus plan for the top 300 executives that will reward outstanding performance. A large part of that success will involve tapping into the beer markets of Russia and China. InBev has a presence in both countries but it wants to become the dominant player. The highly fragmented German beer market, where the group is already the number two brewer with an 11% market share, is also on Brock’s radar screen. He said InBev has between €3 billion and €4 billion available to fund acquisitions without damaging its investment-grade debt rating. In addition to the costs coming out of the old Interbrew, a further €240m of annual savings will come out of InBev. These will be a combination of cuts and cross-licensing deals. Some of the savings will come from brewery closures. Inbev has already announced the closure of the Strangeways brewery in Manchester — where Boddingtons is brewed — next February. It intends to brew non-cask Boddingtons at Preston, south Wales and Glasgow, and cask Boddies at the Hyde’s brewery in Moss Side. Another UK site is also being closed as well as one in Canada. These are tough decisions, but Brock said they had to be made and more will follow. “There are obviously difficult, painful decisions to make, but that is the kind of thing we need to do. In total we have 75 breweries, which frankly is more than we need,” Brock said. In volume terms — but not in terms of profitability — the enlarged company InBev has taken the top spot from America’s Anheuser Busch. To the millions of consumers who drink Inbev’s brands, its beers are much better known than the company. Its 200-strong brand portfolio includes its flagship Beck’s and Stella Artois, which according to Brock is taking off like wildfire in America. Other brands include Bass, Leffe and Hoegaarden as well as Ambev’s Brahma beer, which InBev wants to turn into an international brand, a feat most analysts describe as challenging...more info

Russia, Moscow: Russia's leading brewery, Baltika, jointly owned by Denmark's Carlsberg and Scottish&Newcastle, on Saturday, October 16 shipped its first batch of 17,200 litres of beer to New Zealand. The second shipment with Baltika Number 3 Classic and Baltika Number 7 Export brands will be shipped by Christmas. The official distributor of Baltika, Federal Geo Ltd, intends to sell Russia’s most popular beer not only in New Zealand but also in Vanuatu, Fiji, Tonga, Samoa and Cook Islands. Now Baltika’s brands are sold in 35 countries. Last year it exported 992,300 hectolitres of beer, or 6 percent of overall sales. That was a 9% increase versus the same period 2002.

UK: Scottish & Newcastle, which makes Fosters and Kronenbourg lagers, will next month become the first major brewer in the world to put general health warnings on beer bottles. The initiative in Britain will go beyond current government policy aimed at combating binge drinking, and will be similar to health warnings on cigarette packets, The Telegraph revealed on October 17. Scottish & Newcastle's lead is expected to be followed by other brewers and become standard practice in the UK within months. The company's warnings will be headed "UK Alcohol Units" and contain a message saying: "Responsible drinkers don't exceed three to four units a day for men, two to three for women." The warnings will be prominent, and also say how many units of alcohol the can or bottle contains, typically about two units for a can of lager. Scottish & Newcastle will initially place the warnings on bottles and cans of Newcastle Brown Ale, then extend them to its other brands, which also include John Smith's bitter. Scottish & Newcastle denied that it was introducing the warnings as a way of avoiding potential lawsuits that could blame drinks companies for health problems. "We are doing it because we are a responsible company," said a spokesman. A spokesman denied they were warnings, however. "It's not a health warning, it's a responsibility message," he said. "If you drink moderately it's compatible with a healthy lifestyle, whereas if you drink too much we all know it can do you a lot of harm." Coors, which brews Carling and Grolsch lagers in the UK, will introduce a similar policy in 2005, and other brewers are expected to follow suit. Coors said it would first introduce a message saying "Enjoy Carling, Take it Easy", but it is also understood to be planning more comprehensive health messages. In the US, specific warnings about the risks of alcohol for drivers and pregnant women are a legal requirement, although beer packaging does not carry general health warnings of the sort to be introduced in the UK. Although these initiatives by brewers follow calls from the Government for them to help combat binge drinking, they may not avert the imposition of more specific health warnings. Tony Blair said last month that proposals to impose labels to deter pregnant women from drinking would be incorporated in a government white paper ahead of future legislation.

Malt News

EU malt export licence bookings were 629,000 tonnes from July 1 to September 28, 2004, of which 545,000 tonnes in the old and 84,000 tonnes in the new member states, industry experts has recently revealed. At the same pace bookings in the old EU would reach 2.2 million tonnes for the year, and 2.5 million tonnes in the total EU. In the first half of the year EU malt exports were better than expected to Africa, Russia, Thailand and particularly Venezuela. For October Brazil may become a better customer again, as the country forecasts a 5% better beer output, and Mercosur maltsters appear extremely well sold.

Vietnam has agreed with the EU to apply an average import tariff of 24% for agricultural produce if it joins the WTO. For malt, the 10% bound rate (and 5% effective rate) remains in the agreement. The European Commission has concluded a bilateral trade talks with Vietnam on October 9 as a prelude to the country's membership of the WTO. The deal concluded covers the commitments that Vietnam will undertake in goods and services once it accedes to the WTO. Vietnam must now finalise bilateral deals with all of its major trading partners before the terms of its accession can be confirmed. The signing of this agreement is a major step in the process of Vietnams' WTO membership as the EU is Vietnam's largest trading partner (imported €6.4 bn of goods in 2003, of which farm products made up 10%).Vietnam is currently conducting negotiations with the US, Japan, China, Canada, and Australia among others. As part of the WTO accession process, Vietnam is negotiating bilateral market access deals with all interested WTO members. Once these bilateral negotiations have been concluded and the Working Party has completed its work on Vietnam’s trade regime, the Working Party will determine the terms of accession. These will appear in a report with a protocol of accession containing the specific market access commitments (in tariff and services schedules) of Vietnam.

Ukraine: In August 2004 Ukrainian enterprises imported about 8 thousand tonnes of malt at a value of US$ 1.08 million. August’s volumes of imported malt increased with 1.4 thousand tonnes versus July volumes, Proagro revealed in a statement. According to the same source, in July 2004 Ukraine imported about 6.6 thousand tonnes of brewing malt at a value of US$1.21 million. As usual the volumes of brewing production are growing during summer that leads to a rise of malt consumption. Because of an insufficient malt offer on the internal market of Ukraine, national brewers are to import more raw material. Besides the quality of Ukrainian malt doesn’t always suit the brewers’ requirements, market analysts said.


Barley News

Canada: For 2004-2005 barley production in Canada is estimated by AAFC (Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada) to increase by 6% due to higher yields, despite lower seeded area. Supplies are expected to rise by 10% due to higher carry-in stocks, AAFC revealed on October 8. Feed use is projected to increase significantly, due to higher supplies in western Canada and increased shipments to eastern Canada. Exports of malting barley are expected to drop significantly as lower crop quality reduces the selection rates, although import demand from China is projected to rise sharply. Exports of feed barley, for the crop year, are expected to increase significantly from 2003-04 due to increased supplies and low prices. Carry-out stocks are forecast to increase sharply. Off-Board feed barley prices are expected to decrease by about $25/t from 2003-04 to $110/t, due to increased domestic supplies and lower US corn prices. The CWB September PRO for No.1 CW Feed Barley for the first pool period (August-January) is $113/t I/S VC/SL, versus $167/t for 2003-04. The PRO for Special Select Two Row designated barley is expected to decrease to $186/t from $200/t for 2003-04, mainly due to higher supplies expected in Europe and Australia.

Finland: The new estimate of Finnish 2004 crop is 220,000 tonnes of screened malting barley, about 50,000 tonnes more than in 2003, Viking Malt has recently written in a press release. Viking Malt’s early forecast for the Finnish 2004 crop showed an increase in the area used for malting barley cultivation to around 145,000 ha (about 6,000 ha increase) and also an increased crop compared to last year. The first indications after harvest show the same pattern. In Finland the harvest began later than normal and was not completed until beginning of September. Major varieties are Scarlett, Saana and Barke. The demand of Finland in malting barley is about 240,000 tonnes in 2004, no changes compared to 2003.

Australia: ABB Grain Ltd announced that South Australia’s 2004/05 harvest began today, October 19 2004, with the first load of barley delivered to ABB Grain Ltd’s Port Pirie receival centre in the State’s Mid North. The company said: “The honour of delivering the first load in South Australia went to Mr Ian Mudge of Telowie, who delivered just over 27 tonnes of feed barley to the silo this morning. Mr Mudge is no stranger to being the ‘first cab off the rank’ at harvest time – the previous two years also saw him delivering the first of the state’s tonnes for the season, in 2002 of feed barley and 2003 of lupins.” With crops of wheat and lupins also to be harvested for the 2004/05 season, Mr Mudge said he usually started with barley but should be into the other commodities within the next fortnight, with wheat not that far away from being ready. Mr Mudge said his crops were looking as though yields would be average to above average. He said despite last Tuesday’s scorching weather, he had not experienced much crop damage, the hot day “just quickening it up a bit.” ABB Grain Corporate Relations manager Mr Ian Desborough said the company was expecting South Australian grain receivals to be in line with the five year average of 6.5 million tonnes or just below that level. “We had thought earlier that we might go just above, but last week’s hot weather has taken a little of the gloss off the estimate, as crops in early maturing areas such as the upper North and Eyre Peninsula suffered in the heat.” “However it is still very early days yet and if the cool weather continues or we get another inch to half an inch of rain the yields could still go up in the later maturing areas south of Adelaide,” he said.

Theoretical malt prices.

  EURO = USD 1.2524 October 20, 2004 
Crop year  2004 
Parity  FOB Antwerp 
Position  Oct 2004-Sept 2005 
Conditioning  Bulk   In bags  Bulk containers Bags, containers
Malting barley variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  241.00  302.00  256.50  321.00  252.50  316.50  262.00  328.50 
2RS  Prestige  240.00  300.50  255.00  319.50  251.50  314.50  261.00  326.50 
2RS  Cellar  240.50  301.00  255.50  320.00  252.00  315.50  261.50  327.50 
2RS  Aspen  239.50  299.50  254.50  318.50  250.50  314.00  260.50  326.00 
2RS  Optic  239.50  299.50  254.50  318.50  250.50  314.00  260.50  326.00 
2RS  Astoria  238.50  298.50  253.50  317.50  250.00  313.50  259.50  325.00 
2RS  Cork   238.50  298.50  253.50  317.50  250.00  313.50  259.50  325.00 
2RS   Average price  239.50  300.50  255.00  319.00  251.50  314.50  261.00  326.50 
2RS  FAQ  237.50  297.50  252.50  316.50  249.00  311.50  258.50  323.50 
6RW  Esterel   226.50  283.50  241.50  302.50  238.00  298.00  247.50  309.50 
Asia Malt 70/30  235.50  295.00  251.00  314.00  247.50  309.50  256.50  321.50 
**  Asia Malt 50/50  233.00  291.50  248.00  310.50  244.50  306.50  254.00  318.00 

* - 70/30 = 70% Average two Rows Spring and 30% Six Rows Winter
** - 50/50 = 50% Average two Rows Spring and 50% Six Rows Winter

Theoretical malt prices for crop 2005 are available on site www.e-malt.com/MarketPrices

Malting barley prices. French barley prices.
Nominal prices.

EURO = USD 1.2524 October 20, 2004 
 Crop year   2004   2005 
 Parity   FOB Creil   FOB Creil 
 Position   July 2004   July 2005 
Type   Variety  EURO  USD  EURO  USD 
2RS  Scarlett  112.00  140.50  123.00  154.50 
2RS  Prestige  111.00  139.50  122.00  153.00 
2RS  Cellar  111.50  140.00  122.50  153.50 
2RS  Aspen  110.50  138.50  121.50  152.50 
2RS  Optic  110.50  138.50  121.50  152.50 
2RS  Astoria  110.00  138.00  121.00  151.50 
2RS  Cork   110.00  138.00  121.00  151.50 
6RW  Esterel   100.00  125.50  106.00  133.00 
nq - Not quoted
Prices for Danish and UK malting barley are available on site www.e-malt.com/MarketPrices

Table of the week
EU malt export licence fixations:

(in tonnes)   2000-2001  2001-2002  2002-2003  2003-2004  July 01, 2004 - September 28, 2004 
 France   523,190  701,134  661,772  774,761  165,340 
 Germany   305,980  468,314  408,063  422,047  85,415 
 Belgium   277,584  296,368  287,850  317,292  56,804 
 U.K.    254,793  350,621  294,995  443,501  117,948 
 Finland   65,550  91,890  100,758  114,165  18,520 
 Denmark    52,326  96,812  94,791  90,452  22,120 
 Sweden   50,847  101,000  76,916  78,369  27,190 
 Netherlands   54,835  51,310  66,219  80,703  12,079 
 Ireland   26,003  35,145  31,140  38,900  37,404 
 Austria   4,850  8,840  8,620  60,211  2,541 
 Spain   3,000  2,400  5,640  10,000 
 Greece   1,800  1,744  1,306  979  130 
 Portugal   340  221  85  695  170 
 Italy  
 Total old EU   1,621,098  2,205,799  2,038,157  2,432,075  545,661 
 New EU members  May-June, 04   
 Czech Republic         34,340  24,124 
 Poland         7,604  6,913 
 Hungary         2,830  20,523 
 Slovakia         1,000  31,770 
 Total EU    1,621,098  2,205,799  2,038,157  2,477,849  628,991 

  Total Wheat malt, tonnes  
Total 2000-2001    4,686 
Total 2001-2002    12,805 
Total 2002-2003    30,908 
Total 2003-2004    15,768 
July 01/2004 – September 28/2004    1,399 
   
  Total Roasted malt, tonnes  
Total 2000-2001    23,967 
Total 2001-2002    23,480 
Total 2002-2003    23,603 
Total 2003-2004    24,438 
July 01/2004 – September 28/2004    8,501 
Graph of the week

World's Major Beer Producers 2003
Agenda

October 2004:
OCTOBERFEST Famous German Beer Festival;
Great American Beer Festival;
bevex Beverage Trade Fair. Germany;
Great Welsh Beer & Cider Festival;
ST. PETERSBURG FOOD SALON 2004;
Beer Fair. Spain;
Expo Bebidas Beverage Exhibition. Mexico;
EXPOALIMENTOS Y BEBIDAS 2004. Panama;
Fall Eastern PA Breweriana;
Knoxville Brewer's Jam - A Memorial to Tom Rutledge;
INTERPRODTECH Food and Beverages Processing Exhibition. Russia;
Alko and Drinks Show Alcoholic Beverages and Non-alcoholic Drinks Exhibition. Russia;
WORLD FOOD KAZAKHSTAN 2004;
PAN ASIAN FOOD & BEVERAGE TRADE SHOW 2004. Canada;

November 2004:
INTERNATIONAL EXH FOR FOOD & DRINK INDUSTRY / WORLD FOOD UKRAINE 2004;
INT'L EXH OF WINES, ALCOHOLIC & NON ALCOHOLIC DRINKS & PROTECTION EQUIPMENT / EXPO DRINK 2004. Romania;
TALLINN FOODFEST 2004;
Belgian Beer Fest, Boston MA;
Teach a Friend to Brew Day;
FOOD PROCESSING MACHINERY EXPO 2004;
FISPAL RECIFE 2004 / INTERNATIONAL FOOD FAIR. Brazil.;
BRAU Beviale 2004. Nürnberg, Germany.;
Brewers' Association of America Conference;
Accrington Beer Festival. UK;
FOODAPEST 2004. 7th International Food, Drink and Food Processing Trade Fair;
INTERNATIONAL EXH FOR FOOD INGREDIENTS, ADDITIVES & FLAVOURINGS / INGREDIENTS RUSSIA 2004;

More events are available on site e-malt.com

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